On May 1st, 2025, the market may look calm on the surface, but instability is quietly building underneath.
U.S. GDP posted negative growth, while the Trump camp continues its pressure campaign with tariff threats and Fed criticism—destabilizing the U.S. bond market.
Meanwhile, Japan’s JGB VIX has dropped sharply, and even gold—traditionally seen as a safe haven—is falling, leaving investors with nowhere to hide in a risk-off scenario.
The key trigger events today: the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting and rate announcement, and tariff negotiations between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and the U.S. Treasury.
From an earnings (EPS) perspective, fundamentals remain weak, raising the question:
Where is the Nikkei headed next?
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サマリー
2025年5月1日の日経225オプションに関する議論では、日本の金融市場の動向やアメリカの経済指標について触れられています。さらに、金の価格変動や企業利益の見通しにも焦点が当てられています。